Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.411057 11.530226 12.731880 14.120139 15.682375 17.388976 19.398406
2025-09-14 8.567178 10.063406 11.780176 13.903960 16.471975 19.490858 23.329163
2025-09-21 7.166324 8.843990 10.880008 13.551014 16.989394 21.302595 27.179296
2025-09-28 6.196671 7.982293 10.258194 13.403222 17.685796 23.384935 31.662845
2025-10-05 5.653422 7.572368 10.130504 13.840086 19.164852 26.660202 38.240089
2025-10-12 5.196510 7.207242 9.997994 14.225888 20.595585 30.042078 45.510445
2025-10-19 4.728226 6.761668 9.686190 14.293006 21.542853 32.817935 52.298820
2025-10-26 4.284956 6.296502 9.282754 14.154722 22.131186 35.088540 58.619307
2025-11-02 3.895742 5.866841 8.878472 13.952019 22.567131 37.141012 64.878175
2025-11-09 3.555100 5.475030 8.486761 13.712770 22.892691 39.023453 71.118245
2025-11-16 3.273809 5.148280 8.162148 13.539799 23.295213 41.072594 77.997346
2025-11-23 3.045454 4.884954 7.912795 13.461544 23.844577 43.446501 85.914716
2025-11-30 2.897990 4.747527 7.869203 13.756628 25.150167 47.506785 98.251411
2025-12-07 2.699153 4.504659 7.620260 13.648171 25.669987 50.095843 107.940699
2025-12-14 2.494579 4.233983 7.296634 13.362214 25.799222 51.899123 116.215646
2025-12-21 2.336437 4.032111 7.077967 13.252326 26.268962 54.491229 126.912073
2025-12-28 2.267472 3.985713 7.141169 13.705848 27.983485 60.103137 146.426625
2026-01-04 2.195598 3.927231 7.174903 14.101223 29.624360 65.819002 167.609230
2026-01-11 2.091802 3.799466 7.062282 14.176034 30.552750 69.988992 185.568271
2026-01-18 1.974179 3.635648 6.863828 14.044006 30.982433 72.995104 200.917653
2026-01-25 1.859690 3.469263 6.646079 13.846040 31.228237 75.572099 215.634819
2026-02-01 1.750947 3.306343 6.422075 13.610583 31.351676 77.849125 230.013849
2026-02-08 1.656960 3.166492 6.234862 13.440100 31.616386 80.558095 246.552409